Sunday, 12 August 2018


Myths of Modicare



Perhaps for the first time in India healthcare has taken the centre stage of debate and discussion. The country where people still trust quacks and ascetic healers, the Union finance minister through his budget speech has proposed an ambitious health protection scheme. Packaged as Modicare the proposals might divert public attention from the government’s primary responsibility to provide equitable and affordable healthcare to all its citizens.



Health is perhaps the main takeaway for 1.3 billion Indians from the General Budget of 2018-19 which is the last full budget of the present government at the centre. Arun Jaitley, the Union minister for finance and corporate affairs, while presenting the Budget in the Parliament on 1 February, 2018 announced two major initiatives in health sector, as part of Ayushman Bharat Programme – (i) Health and Wellness Centre which “will bring health care system closer to homes of people” and (ii) National Health Protection Scheme (NHPS) which “will cover 10 crore poor and vulnerable families (approximately 50 crore beneficiaries) providing coverage upto 5 lakh rupees per family per year for secondary and tertiary care hospitalization”. [PIB 2018]

While declaring NHPS, touted Modicare by some, as the “world’s largest government funded health care programme”, the finance minister further said that these two health sector initiatives “will build a New India 2022 and ensure enhanced productivity, well being and avert wage loss and impoverishment” and “will also generate lakhs of jobs, particularly for women”. [PIB 2018]

Considering India’s overall socio-economic scenario, particularly that of the health sector, such holistic approach of the government deserves a loud applause. However, applause should also be assessed appositely. Unlike yesteryears, when the Budget speeches had a very little mention on health and, perhaps, never kindled much discussion; health has suddenly been identified this year as very important issue by almost every commentary. It is indeed necessary to view finance minister’s Budget speech on health from multiple angles. This article is destined to do so.

Discordant Vertex:

A press conference chaired by the health minister J P Nadda, called after a day, saw no answers to many questions, pertinent to the above announcements. [Bhuyan 2018] Nadda told reporters, “We will give the details but not today. We are working on the nitty-gritties. We have to work that out with all other departments as well.” [India TV News 2018] Health minister’s explanation raised doubts about the government’s preparedness before making announcements. He, however, announced that Rs 2,000 crore had been allocated for the NHPS and the cost bearing ratio for the centre and the state would be 60:40 while implementing. [Gandhi and Kaul 2018]

Another press conference on the same day, which was being held by NITI Aayog on the same issue, had somehow laid some details of the new insurance scheme. Alok Kumar, adviser on health, NITI Aayog, told that NHPS would expectedly reach to 50 per cent beneficiaries in the first year based on the states’ acceptance and NITI Aayog would need a budget of Rs 6,000 crore in 2018-19 for that. Again, to cover 10 crore families it would require around Rs 12,000 crore every year. Further, a premium between Rs 1,000 and Rs 1,200 for each family (having no cap on the family size) will provide a floating cover of Rs 5 lakh to the beneficiaries of the scheme, those were identified on the basis of the socio-economic census 2011. The scheme is likely to be rolled out either on Independence Day or on Gandhi Jayanti, this year. [Gandhi and Kaul 2018]

Further, the finance secretary Hasmukh Adhia told that the government expects the mega healthcare scheme announced in the Budget to cost only about Rs 10,000 crore annually and is expected to be rolled out in six to eight months. A senior government official, on assurance of anonymity, told that it would have to be seen whether the government would be in a position to implement the scheme across the country before the 2019 elections.  [Mishra 2018]

Amidst such varying communications at the highest level, some enthusiastic storey-teller brought out “the story behind Modicare” which mentions that the plan was initiated by the Prime Minister in January, 2016 and it is not a “knee-jerk poll sop”. [Yadav 2018] Though, several experts in well informed circle have criticized the scheme as considerable disappointment.

India’s Miserable Health Story:

Before examining the finance minister’s budget proposals on health sector, let’s have a quick look at the country’s health scenario. In India, there have been several major nutritional enhancement programmes in place since long which include the Integrated Child Development Services since 1975 and the Mid Day Meal Scheme for schoolchildren since 1995. Ironically, the child and maternal malnutrition continues to be the single largest risk factor for health loss in India indicating the need for drastic and rapid action on this front. The country’s per capita disease burden due to child and maternal malnutrition is 12 times higher than China. [ICMR, PHFI, and IHME 2017] The disease burden from unsafe water and sanitation is unacceptably high which is a striking 40 times higher than China and 12 times higher than Sri Lanka. Theunder-5-year age group in India presently suffers 18% of the total disease burden across all ages. Deaths and ill-health in neonates in the first month of life is also alarmingly high. Both neonatal and under-5 death rates in India are about five times higher than that of Sri Lanka. [ICMR, PHFI, and IHME 2017]

India ranks 143 out of 184 countries for health-related Sustainable Development Goals. At 17% of the world’s population, India contributes disproportionally to the global burden of disease. A quarter of the world’s tuberculosis patients live in India. The country leads with population having unhealthy lifestyles, premature cardiovascular disease, and an epidemic of diabetes. [Lancet, 2017] India’s poor healthcare network further adds up to the miseries. Government expenditure on health in India is one of the lowest in the world at 1·4% of gross domestic product, an amount wholly inadequate to run health facilities. [Lancet, 2017] Poor public funding causes common Indians high burden of out-of-pocket-expenditure (OoPE) on health. Two-thirds of healthcare spending in India is out of pocket, or done by the common man, according to a study by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington. [Mascarenhas 2017] This pushes 7% of the country’s population into poverty every year. [Shah 2018]

According to a study by the premier AIIMS which was published in the National Medical Journal of India, illness not only affects a patient’s health but also financially paralyses an entire family, be it poor or middle class. The study found that, 63.5% of rural and 44.9% of urban families had to decrease their food expenditure after treating someone in the family. High OoPE can also make the economic recovery challenging for a family which has been described as ‘medical poverty trap’. [PTI 2017]  

India’s ugly health story needs urgent correction. The desire to see India as the fastest growing economy cannot be achieved without its people being in sound mental and physical state. This sets the health care as one of the most priority agenda for the government. The above background provokes us to cross-examine the finance minister’s health related Budget proposals.

Health and Wellness Centre:

The Budget has allocated Rs 1,200 crore to convert 1.5 lakh sub-centres into health and wellness centres (Rs 80,000 per sub-centre) which, according to the finance minister, will provide comprehensive health care including free essential drugs and diagnostic services. The sub-centres are deficient with infrastructure, equipments, medicines and man power. The budgetary allocation is inadequate to support the government’s ambitious plan.

Rural healthcare system in India runs through sub-centres (SCs), Primary Health Centres (PHCs) and Community Health Centres (CHCs). [Chart-1] As per the rural health statistics published by the ministry of health and family welfare, government of India, as on 31 March, 2017, there are 1,56,231 SCs; 25,650 PHCs and 5,624 CHCs functioning in India.

Chart-1: Rural Health Care System in India

         Community Health Centre (CHC)
             A 30 bedded Hospital/Referral Unit for 4 PHCs with Specialized services 
         Primary Health Centre (PHC)
A Referral Unit for 6 Sub Centres 4-6 bedded manned with a Medical Officer Incharge and 14 subordinate paramedical staff
         Sub Centre (SC)
Most peripheral contact point between Primary Health Care System & Community manned with one HW(F)/ANM & one HW(M)
Source: Ministry of health and family welfare, Government of India

As on 31 March, 2017, only 17,204 (11%) SCs and 3,303 (13%) PHCs were functioning as per Indian Public Health Standard (IPHS) norms. 20.5% SCs run without regular water supply, 23.9% are without electric supply and about 10% do not have all-weather motorable approach roads. Out of 25650 PHCs, only 39.2% function on 24×7 basis. 27% SCs run without separate male and female toilet. [Health statistics, 2017]

The availability of manpower is one of the important pre-requisite for the efficient functioning of the Rural Health services. The overall shortfall in the posts of HW(F)/ANM was 5.6% and 63.7% in case of HW (M). Even out of the sanctioned posts, a significant percentage of posts were vacant at all the levels. For instance, 13.2% of the sanctioned posts of HW (Female)/ANM and 37.5% of the sanctioned posts of Male Health Worker were vacant at SCs. Out of all SCs 6,405 were functioning without a Female Health Worker/ANM; 78,584 without a Male Health Worker and 4,218 without either. [Health statistics]

First of all, these 1.5 lakh SCs need their infrastructural deficiencies rectified and required human resources recruited. Then only they can become health and wellness centre. Hence, it is difficult to understand as to how such gigantic task will be completed with a paltry funding.


National Health Protection Scheme (NHPS):
The Union finance minister’s tall claim in the Parliament to take healthcare protection to a new “aspirational level” through NHPS is certainly misleading.

Firstly, such government funded health insurance is not new in India. A similar scheme, the Rashtriya Swasthya Bima Yojana (RSBY) was launched in 2008 which provides with an annual coverage of Rs 30,000 to the families living below poverty line. The RSBY has an enrolment of 3.6 crore families and its premium is subsidized and shared by the central (75%) and the state (25%) governments. Thus, the RSBY is basically a public funded, targeted health insurance scheme providing cashless inpatient service in private or public hospitals. The RSBY has been hailed by the United Nations and International Labour Organisation, beside other international bodies. [Khan, 2018]

Secondly, the same finance minister introduced  a national health protection scheme (NHPS) last year which was actually a revamped RSBY with expanded health coverage of up to Rs I lakh per family per year. Rs 1,500 crore was allocated for NHPS in 2016-17 for health insurance of one-third of the population. [Sinha 2018] Ironically, the scheme never took off  and the government spent only Rs 500 crore. A health ministry official, however, said the reason for dumping the previous insurance scheme might be it was “not inspirational enough”. [Bhuyan, 2018]

Thirdly, NHPS would disrupt and derail the states’ own insurance schemes. Twenty-four states already have health protection schemes in some form or the other which are likely to be subsumed in the NHPS. [Gandhi and Kaul 2018] Several states have much wider and more inclusive health insurance schemes than that of the NHPS. Some of the states’ schemes provide with coverage ranging between Rs 2 lakh to Rs 5 lakh per family. [Indian Express 2018] The variance in eligibility criteria between the NHPS and state’s scheme may raise issues once the former subsumes the later. For example, Kerala identifies people on the BPL list but the Centre will be relying upon the Socio Economic Caste Census (SECC). What will happen to the existing beneficiaries if they are not covered under the Centre’s criteria? [Jayashree 2018]

Fourthly, implementation of Aadhar-based authentication to access the NHPS is more disappointing. Dr. Vinod Kumar Paul, member (health and nutrition), NITI Aayog told that Modicare would be a cashless, Aadhaar-enabled scheme. [Sharma 2018] There will be provisions for Aadhar-based smart cards containing health details of senior citizens. Any failure of such Aadhar-based authentication, especially for the elderly, would cause difficulties in accessing healthcare. This is detrimental and exclusionary in nature. Much has been written about it. Very recently, a 25-year old woman delivered her baby outside the emergency ward of a civil hospital at Gurugram since the staff allegedly denied her admission into the labour ward for not carrying Aadhar card. [PTI-NDTV 2018]

Finally, the lack of seriousness for a “Swastha Bharat” is evident through a low level of public spending on health. This year the Centre’s budget for health has marginally increased by 12% from Rs 50,281 crore in 2017-18 to Rs 56,226 crore in 2018-19. If we compare the 2018-19 allocation with the revised estimate for 2017-18 which was Rs 54,852 crore, then the increase is a mere 2.4%. In real terms, this is a decline if we include the inflation over 5%. [Duggal 2018]  For National Health Mission (NHM), there is a decline in allocation from Rs 30,801 crore in 2017-18 to Rs 30,129.61 crore in 2018-19. Budgetary allocation for the Reproductive Child Health has declined by 30% (from Rs 7,545 crore in 2017-18 to Rs 5,253 crore in 2018-19). For communicable disease flexipool the allocation has declined by 27% (from Rs 2,648 crore to Rs 1,928 crore during the period under review). [Duggal 2018]

Thus, the health budget for 2018-19 is a clear prescription whether it is Modi-care or Modi-damn-care.

A Boon for Private Capital:

A decade old experience of promoting insurance-based schemes, such as the RSBY and its state-clones, suggests that such practice has neither significantly reduced OoPE nor it has increased access to healthcare for the poor. [Sinha 2018] However, the proposal for increased insurance coverage under the NHPS upto Rs 5 lakh is a boon for the private insurers since the premium amount will also jump on higher side forcing a ‘legitimate leak’ of public money into the private hand. There is already a government push for running NHPS through private insurers. Perhaps, this needs further explanations.

During 2015-16, the health insurance segment has achieved a growth rate of 21.7% percent in gross premium, which is the highest for the past five years. However, there is a drop in the share of private general insurers, whose market share has come down from 22% in 2014-15 to 20% in 2015-16. It can be observed that over the past five years, the share of private sector general insurers has declined from 27 percent in 2011-12 to 20 percent in 2015-16. [Table-1]

Table-1: Trend in Health Insurance Premium over the Past Five Years
Sectors

2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
Public Sector General Insurer
 Rs in crore
8015
9580
10841
12882
15591
Market Share %
61
62
62
64
64







Private Sector General Insurer
Rs in crore
3445
4205
4482
4386
4911
Market Share %
27
27
26
22
20







Stand-alone Health Insurer
Rs in crore
1609
1688
2172
2828
3946
Market Share %
12
11
12
14
16







Industry Total

13,069
15,453
17,495
20,096
24,448
Annual Growth Rate (%)

18.5
18.2
13.2
14.9
21.7

Source: IRDAI Annual Report, 2015-16

Further, health insurance business can be classified into Government Sponsored Health Insurance, Group Health Insurance (Other than Government Sponsored) and Individual Health Insurance. Among these three classes of business, the share of government business was declining. [Table-2]

Table-2: Classification of Health Insurance Premium
Class of Business

2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
Government Sponsored Schemes
Rs in crore
2225
2348
2082
2474
2425
including RSBY
Market Share %
17
15
12
12
10







Group Business
Rs in crore
5948
7186
8058
8899
11621
(Other than Government Business)
Market Share %
46
47
46
44
48







Individual Business
Amount
4896
5919
7355
8772
10353

Market Share %
37
38
42
44
42
Grand Total

13,069
15,453
17,495
20,096
24,448
Source: Same as Table-1

In terms of number of persons covered under health insurance, three-fourth of the persons were covered under government sponsored health insurance schemes and the balance one-fourth were covered by group and individual policies. [Table-3]

Table-3: Number of persons covered under health insurance
Class of Business

2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
Government Sponsored Schemes
persons in lakh
1612
1494
1553
2143
2733
including RSBY
% share of no. of persons
76
72
72
74
76







Group Business
persons in lakh
300
343
337
483
570
(Other than Government Business)
% share of no. of persons
14
17
15
17
16







Individual Business
persons in lakh
206
236
272
254
287

% share of no. of persons
10
11
13
9
8
Grand Total

2,188
2,073
2,162
2,880
3,590
Source: Same as Table-1&2

Now, after having a practical acquaintance of four years with its style of functioning and a conjoint reading of the above three tables (table 1, 2 & 3) could derive the intent of the present government at the centre for enhancing insurance coverage vis-Ć -vis premium amount under NHPS. They cannot remain as a silent spectator when the private players are sliding down in a fast growing health insurance market. Perhaps, it was only to facilitate the ease of doing business for the private insurers, the fund allocation from the public account was increased (coverage for government’s health insurance scheme jumps from Rs 1 lakh to Rs 5 lakh per family). The government has estimated an upward revision of the premium for NHPS at Rs 1,000-1,200 per family per year. The governments at the Centre and the states are already investing Rs 3,090 crore in premiums for 33.5 crore population. The NHPS would add another 16.5 crore persons for their target of covering 50 crore population with additional premium amount. More and more people would ensure more and more money in private insurers’ hands.

Not only would the private insurers garner maximum profit, the scheme will also lead to a significant increase in profits for the private healthcare industry, which is also perhaps its intention. The Centre may ask states to incentivize private hospitals and healthcare chains for setting up infrastructure and creating trained manpower for the successful implementation of the NHPS. [Sharma 2018] One must take a note that out of 7,226 hospitals empanelled by the government for RSBY, 4,291 were private while 2,935 were public hospitals [Bhuyan 2018] which suggests that the lion’s share of the public health fund is already lying in the private hands. The new scheme would further facilitate the grabbing despite the fact that there are widespread reports of profiteering by private hospitals. These are referred to as “moral hazards” in the medical insurance industry and are well-known across the world. [Sundararaman 2018] Experiences from across the world show that it escalates overall healthcare expenditure besides unethical practices and inappropriate patient’s care. In India, these problems are likely to be more intense due weak governance and existence of limited regulatory procedure for controlling the private sector. However, this government at the Centre is hell bent to do anything for public health only through private sector. This raises questions about the intent and credibility of the present ruling regime.

Taxing the common people:

The Budget has announced an increase in the education cess from existing 3% to 4% as ‘health and education cess’. This should bring in an additional Rs.11,000 crore to the government exchequer. Of this additional amount, if 25% is spent for the health sector, there should have been an increase of Rs.2,750 crore in the health budget for this year. But, the increase has been only Rs.1,250 crore. This raises doubts whether the government at the centre is only interested to get additional revenues from the pockets of the common people in the name of healthcare expenditure for the poor while opening the scope for the private healthcare sector to garner more and more profit. The surge in the share prices of healthcare and insurance companies, following the budget announcements might tell the stories of actually who the real beneficiaries of the scheme should be.



Conclusion:

Six days after the Budget announcements were made, Prime Minister Narendra Modi on 7 February tweeted (the initial content was removed): “Now is the time to give India a healthcare system that makes quality treatment affordable. We will ensure this through Ayushman Bharat”. [Modi 2018] Four days later, the tweet received only 9,158 ‘likes’ despite the fact that Modi has more than 4 crore twitter followers. Earlier, on 1 February, Modi’s tweet was showered with 25,200 ‘likes’ which mentioned, “Ayushman Bharat Yojana is a path breaking initiative to provide quality and affordable healthcare. It will benefit approximately 50 crore Indians. The scale of this scheme is unparalleled and it will bring a paradigm shift in our health sector.” [Modi 2018]

The receding numbers of ‘likes’ for Modi on healthcare could be enough indicative of the popular discontent against his finance minister’s untruthful announcements and, perhaps, the rhetoric have been exposed about creation of health and wellness centres without sufficient groundwork. It is also understandable that the new health protection scheme is actually a “paradigm shift” from public welfare to private profiteering.

Precisely, when the public healthcare system is put in the perils of private hand, all stakeholders must continue with the public debate to keep the demand for the right to health alive. Otherwise, people’s access to essential and equitable healthcare would remain only good at announcements. 

References:
1.      PIB (2018): “Ayushman Bharat for a new India -2022, announced”
Press Information Bureau; Government of India; Ministry of Finance; 1February,
2.      Bhuyan, Anoo (2018): “NITI Aayog Comes to the Rescue As Health Ministry Clueless on World’s Largest Healthcare Programme”, Wire, 3 February,
3.      India TV News (2018): “Finances will never be a problem for NHPS, says Health Minister J P Nadda”, 2 February,
4.      Gandhi, J and Kaul R (2018): “ Modicare to cost govt Rs 1,100-1,200 per family every year”, Hindustan Times, 2 February,
5.       Mishra, M (2018): “Modicare: Government to form council to roll out National Health Protection Scheme”, Economic Times, 5 February,
1.      Yadav, Y (2018): “Story behind Modi-care: Plan initiated by PM in Jan 2016, took two years in making; not knee-jerk poll sop”, First Post, 6 February,
2.      ICMR, PHFI, and IHME (2017): “India: Health of the Nation’s States”, 14 November, http://icmr.nic.in/publications/India_Health_of_the_Nation's_States_Report_2017.pdf
3.      Lancet (2017): “Health in India, 2017”, Vol. 389, 14 January, http://www.thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/lancet/PIIS0140-6736(17)30075-2.pdf
4.      Mascarenhas, A (2017): “Of India’s healthcare spend, 2/3 out of patients’ pockets: Study”, The Indian Express, 21 April,
5.      Shah, K (2018): “ Government announces Modicare, but can it afford it?”, 3 February,
6.      PTI (2017): “Healthcare expenses paralyse family finances: AIIMS study”, Financial Express, 31 August
7.      Health Statistics (2017): “Health Management Information System; A Digital Initiative Under National Health Mission”, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Government of India, 2016-17,
8.      Khan, S A (2018): “Healthcare Is a Serious State Responsibility and Should be Kept Insulated From Populism”, Wire, 3 February
9.      Sinha, D (2018): “Why the Budget is Unhelpful and Unimaginative When It Comes to Healthcare”, Wire, 1 February,
10.  The Indian Express (2018): “Union Budget 2018: From Himachal to Kerala, health care in states over the years”, 2 February,
1.      Jayashree, J (2018): “What the Centre’s New Health Insurance Scheme Means for States That Have Their Own”, Wire, 7 February,
2.      Sharma, N C (2018): “Modicare will be a cashless, Aadhaar-enabled scheme: Vinod Kumar Paul”, Live Mint, 6 February,
3.      PTI, NDTV (2018): “Denied Entry Over Aadhaar, Woman Delivers Baby Outside Gurgaon Hospital”, 10 February,
4.      Duggal, R (2018): “Health Budget Could Have Been About People, But Now It’s About Markets”, Wire, 6 February,
5.      IRDAI, (2015-16): “Annual Report”
6.      Sharma, Y S (2018): “Modicare: Private hospitals may be roped in for NHPS”, Economic Times, 5 February
7.      Sundararaman, T (2018): “Opinion: Modicare is more an election gimmick than a real solution to India’s health needs”, Scroll, 5 February,
8.      Modi (2018): Twitter, 7 February,
9.      Modi (2018): Twitter, 1 February

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